Posts Tagged ‘position’
A partial CPF restoration is in order
Weekly Technical Commentary
Conflicting signals as we remain trapped below ‘channel’ resistance with two consecutive small ’spike lows’ ahead of the 26-wek moving average at 89.30. The Ichimoku ‘cloud’, which thickens and drops mid-May, suggests one should continue to hold a short position while the moving averages turned to a long one mid-February….
IMM Positioning – Speculators Massively Long MXN
Speculative investors have increased bets that USD/MXN will dip lower, despite the already low level. In the past week speculators added almost 10K contracts to their short USD/MXN position that now amounts to 81% of open interest.
Weekly Technical Commentary
Not easy and not obvious as we remain trapped between ‘channel’ resistance and pivotal support at 88.00. Elements of the Ichimoku ‘cloud’ chart are mixed with moving averages hinting at a long position and the ‘cloud’ dropping and thickening to a very good size late May. Random moves will probably…
The Dollar Shift
The dollar had an excellent week, its best since January. The US currency rose 2% or more against every major currency except the Canadian Dollar; against the loonie it gained only 1.8%. Several factors sent the dollar soaring: end of the year profit taking and position squaring; sovereign debt concerns…
Why the DXY?
The DXY does not mirror the United States trade position in the global economy. It is heavily weighted to Europe, undervalues the Canadian Dollar, ignores South Korea Taiwan and by necessity China. A firm cannot settle a trade flow in the DXY nor is it particularly useful as a hedge…



