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Archive for January, 2014

Emerging Markets: Cut by the Same Scissors, But Not from the Same Cloth

The beginning of 2014 has been rough for many emerging markets. EM assets and currencies have been under pressure since last May, when Fed Chairman Bernanke's anticipation of Fed tapering triggered a tightening in global financial conditions. However, other factors such as a deceleration of trend economic growth in China,

Weekly Focus: Case for Further Easing by ECB

There have been tentative signs of stabilisation in some global risk assets and emerging markets but it is too early to call the bottom. In coming months, Chinese data will be key for emerging market and risk assets. Bond yields in the US and Germany has come down further as yield

More Pressure on the ECB from Low Inflation

Euro inflation declined to 0.7% in January, from 0.8% in December, and is now back at a cycle low. The fall in inflation was due to lower energy price inflation, which declined 1.2% in January from being unchanged in December. Food price inflation also declined a bit from 1.8% to

US Personal Spending up 0.4% in December

Personal consumer expenditure (PCE) rose a stronger than expected 0.4% in December 2013 following an upwardly revised 0.6% (was 0.5%) increase in November but a downwardly revised 0.1% (was 0.4%) increase in October. Market expectations had been for a 0.2% increase in December. Spending on durable goods declined 1.8%, which

Canadian November GDP Continues to Increase

Canadian November GDP Continues to Increase

  • November 2013 gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.2% following a 0.3% gain in October.
  • Goods-producing industries rose 0.4% despite manufacturing activity declining 0.5% with strong offsetting increases in utilities (2.1%) and mining (1.7%).
  • The service-producing side of the economy rose 0.2%

Can Gold Prices Continue Rising?

Gold prices tested the lowest level in a week yesterday, as aftermath of additional tapering together with improvement in US GDP and a weaker Chinese Manufacturing data signaled slowdown in yellow metal's demand. Yesterday's move signaled a halt to gold price's five week rally. The prices of gold are losing
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