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October 2013
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Archive for October 1st, 2013

US Growth in Manufacturing Activity Unexpectedly Accelerated in September

Activity in the US manufacturing sector expanded for the fourth consecutive month in September 2013, and the pace of growth unexpectedly accelerated as evidenced by the ISM manufacturing index rising to 56.2 in the month from the 55.7 reading recorded in August. The market had expected the measure to moderate

EURUSD Rises to Highest Since February

EURUSD has been supported by a number of factors of late such as central bank balance sheet divergences, political uncertainty, and the outlook for growth. The European Central Bank's balance sheet has been shrinking while the Fed continues with aggressive balance sheet expansion (see here) which has helped the euro

US Government Shutdown Sends Very Bad Signal

The US government shut down for the first time in 17 years as Congress failed to approve a bill securing funding for the 2014 budget year. This leaves around a million public workers without pay while the shutdown lasts and many public services will be closed. The direct cost of a

EUR: Lots of Noise For Little Return

Seeing no progress on the US budget negotiations is not a surprise to investors the markets knew what was to be expected and price action so far suggests that capital markets seem "resigned to living" with the US budget crisis. However, it's the longer-term crux that is going to

Markets Post-US Government Shutdown

The US government shutdown is the main theme of the day. As discussions on a potential US default by October 17th gain pace, the market reaction remains relatively soft. USD sales are registered across the board, yet the 10-year US government yields moved higher. In Europe, the weakness in economic

European Market Update

The USD was weaker after the US Govt was forced to begin a partial shutdown after lawmakers failed to bridge the divide as the clock stuck midnight. Overall sentiment was that USD was just too flawed to hold water at this time but off its worst levels ahead of the
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