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Archive for September, 2013

Canadian July GDP Offsets June Drop

July 2013 GDP rose a strong 0.6% in the month that more than reversed the 0.5% drop in June. The July increase was slightly stronger than the 0.5% gain expected. Expectations of a solid increase in July were premised on the assumption of a reversal of a number of special factors

Italy: Political Deadlock Once More

Since the ECB introduced its OMT programme in August 2012, Italian government bond yields have decreased substantially and are now back at pre-crisis levels despite the high government debt and large government budget deficits. Italy held general elections in February as Berluconi's People of Liberty (PDL) party withdrew its support

GBP Could be the Winner as External Political Risks Heat Up

There has been a double whammy of political risk hitting the markets at once this week: firstly the on-going saga of the US Budget. If a deal is not reached by midnight tonight then non-essential government services could be shut down tomorrow morning. This could impact 800,000 workers and could

Politics To Down EUR and Dollar Further?

Just when you thought it was safe to get back into the water, a political standoff in Washington and a political fiasco in Europe's third largest economy have new "event risk" driving capital markets. Global political risk has eroded positive investor sentiment, last seen after the Fed's "no" taper move

US In The Loop

The world is focused on US budget deadlock as no agreement has been reached to avoid a potential government shutdown yet. As tomorrow's deadline approaches dangerously, the risk appetite remains under pressure in the market place. In addition, the political turmoil in Italy and the deflationary pressures in the Euro-zone

European Market Update

European equities volatility rises ahead of key event risks for the week (PMI data, monthly US jobs report, Japan Tankan Survey and Sales tax announcement, ECB decision, Italy confidence vote)
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