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Archive for July, 2012

Germany Calls Draghi’s Bluff

Volume is fairly thin today and there is a slightly mixed tone to the markets. As we progress through the London afternoon there has been signs that investors are paring long bets on risk and short bets on the euro as we lead up to tomorrow's man event. However, the

Fed Likely to Wait Until September Before Easing More

Both market and analyst expectations for further Fed action seem modest ahead of tomorrow's meeting. Therefore any specific action even if it is only an extension of the period of exceptionally low rates would be a positive for risk sentiment. Although the bar for a positive surprise is

U.S. Consumer Confidence Unexpectedly Improved in July; House Prices Rose for a Fourth Straight …

The Conference Board's measure of US consumer confidence unexpectedly increased by 3.2 points to a three-month high of 65.9 in July 2012. The increase in the headline index broke a string of four consecutive monthly declines and reflected consumers being more optimistic about the short-term outlook, with the "expectations for

U.S. Income Grew More Quickly than Expected in June; Real PDI Increased

Personal consumer expenditure (PCE) was unchanged in June 2012 following a 0.1% dip in May and a 0.2% rise in April. Spending on durable goods fell for a fourth consecutive month by dipping 0.1% following matching drops of 0.4% in April and May. Services spending rose 0.2%, and spending on

Canadian May GDP Rises Modestly

May 2021 GDP increased a smaller than expected 0.1% in the month that was down from a 0.3% gain recorded in April. Expectations were for output to rise a slightly greater 0.2% in the month. The increase in May largely reflected service-producing industries rising 0.1% with aggregate output among goods-producing

Spending was flat in June despite rising Personal Income

June's poor personal spending performance confirms the deceleration in household consumption evidenced in the advance GDP report for the second quarter, which had shown private consumption slowing down to a 1.5% quarterly annualized pace. If anything, June's spending report offers little hope for a stronger start to the third quarter.
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